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East Forsyth @ West Forsyth for The Outright CPC Championship

It all comes down to Friday….

It's going to be a showdown in the Village of Clemmons...It's been 4 long years since the Titans(2019) won the outright CPC Title led by RB G'Money Wilson. Welcome back to contending West Forsyth! It's like old times again...

East Forsyth has outscored West 102-7(2022) the last two games. Those players remember that... and I still think it was a factor in Coach Snow's decision to resign.

East Forsyth is young and you better get them now is the sentiment that teams across the Triad have stated; East has been dominate in recent years and it will be a mighty task for West Forsyth to dethrone the Champs.

Two super well coached teams, It will be a jam packed in Jerry Peoples Stadium..just an electric environment.

4A East playoff projections 10/28/2023

1 Rolesville
32 Purnell Swett
16 Garner
17 Wake Forest
8 Jack Britt
25 Fuquay-Varina
9 Pine Forest
24 Ashley
5 Cardinal Gibbons
28 Overhills
12 Millbrook
21 Heritage
13 Clayton
20 South View
4 Pinecrest
29 South Garner
3 Hoggard
30 Chapel Hill
14 Holly Springs
19 Jordan
6 Apex Friendship
27 Southeast Raleigh
11 Laney
22 Middle Creek
7 Hillside
26 New Hanover
10 New Bern
23 Apex
15 Leesville Road
18 Richmond
2 Cleveland
31 Gray's Creek

Southeast Wake Conf - Apex Friendship & Holly Springs are tied for 1st. Automatic Bid to Apex Friendship based on HTH. AF beat HS in wk. 5.

4A Cap 6 - Athens Drive RPI is 26 and Broughton is 40. Broughton won the Head-to-head. Athens Driver cannot "leap frog" Broughton to get into the playoffs.

3A/4A United 8- Three way tie for between Purnell Swett, Gray's Creek, & Lumberton. Tie cannot be broken on HTH or against rest of conf. and must be broken using RPI, which puts in the playoffs Purnell Swett and Gray's Creek. Lumberton RPI is 45.

Determining NCHSAA Playoff Representatives:
1. Conference Standings
If a tie break, the tie break decided in the following order:
2. Head-to-Head
3. How the tied team fared again the rest of the conference, starting with the number one team and moving down throughout the conference.
4. NCHSAA RPI standings.
5. Draw will be held by the tied teams for the seeds available.

Mooresville 9-0 at Lake Norman 9-0

Arguably the biggest game in city history. Tickets have been on sale for over 2 weeks already… expect a beyond standing room only crowd. Heard rumors of 10-12k expected.

Both teams, obviously, come in off wins, but neither team played their best. Expect a hard hitting game here.. and I think there could be a lot of points scored.

EPC Championship West Craven 7-2 @ SW Edecombe 7-2

I can't think of a better scenario to decide a conference championship. Identical records. Both on 5 game winning streaks. RPI # 5 vs #6. SWE with the second most points scored of all conference teams. WC with the third most. In the exact reverse order, WC has allowed the second fewest, while SWE has allowed the third fewest. Farmville Central holds the number 1 spot in both categories. By the way, both SWE and WC has whooped Farmville. WC is even perfect at home and 2-2 on the road, while SWE is perfect in the road and 2-2 at home. These teams are so even, I'd be surprised if the game didn't go into OT. It's true that WC is technically 6-3 on the field, but of those 3 field losses, we would have lost them too. East Duplin, New Bern, Havelock....come on, now. I think the only true difference between the two teams is how we gather our victories. We average 311ypg on the ground to their 175. However, they average over 130 in the air to our 66. A SWE team even averaging that much through the air is remarkable. I have noticed that the WC defense is the real deal. Conversely, that is our weak point. Despite their fantastic defense, I think we should be able to put up the low 30s. But can we keep them from scoring in the high 30s? Lol. It's going to be an excellent game, with huge playoff implications.

Southeast Halifax (8-1) @ Wilson Prep (8-1)

So I had to choose between driving 1:30 to Plymouth and watch Tarboro end another game early against Washington County or attend the biggest game in the 1A east at Wilson Prep for the Tar-Roanoke conference championship. So I can listen to Tarboro on 98.5 and I will get home a lot quicker if I don’t leave the Wilson city limits, so that solves that.

I’ll be giving updates along the way. I want to see if either of these teams has any hope beyond the first couple of rounds in the playoffs.

4A East playoff projections 10/22/2023

This weeks playoff projections includes all week 10 results except for Fuquay - Varina @ South Garner which was rescheduled from Friday, Oct 20 to Monday, Oct 23 at 7:00 pm.


1 Rolesville
32 Athens Drive
16 Wake Forest
17 Garner
8 Jordan
25 Chapel Hill
9 Overhills
24 New Hanover
5 Cardinal Gibbons
28 Purnell Swett
12 Laney
21 Ashley
13 Holly Springs
20 Middle Creek
4 Hoggard
29 Jack Britt
3 Cleveland
30 Hillside
14 Millbrook
19 Richmond
6 Apex Friendship
27 Pine Forest
11 Clayton
22 Fuquay - Varina
7 South View
26 South Garner
10 New Bern
23 Apex
15 Leesville Road
18 Heritage
2 Pinecrest
31 Southeast Raleigh
Determining NCHSAA Playoff Representatives:
1. Conference Standings
If a tie, the tie break decided in the following order:
2. Head-to-Head
3. How the tied team fared again the rest of the conference, starting with the number one team and moving down throughout the conference.
4. NCHSAA RPI standings.
5. Draw will be held by the tied teams for the seeds available.
3A/4A United 8 - South View & Jack Brit are tied for 1st. Automatic bid (proj) to South View based on RPI. SV & JB play each other in wk 11.
3A/4A United 8 - Purnell Swett and Gray's Creek are tied for 3rd place . PS beat GC h-t-h in week 4.
3A/4A All American - Pine Forest & Overhills are tied for 1st. Automatic bid (proj) Pine Forest based H-T-H. PF beat OH in Week 10.
Greater Neuse River - Cleveland and Clayton are tied for 1st. Automatice bid (proj) to Cleveland based on RPI. CvHS & CHS play each other in wk. 11.
Greater Neuse River - Fuquay - Varina and South Garner play wk 10 game Monday night 10/23/2023.
Cap 6 - Cardinal Gibbons and Leesville Road are tied for 1st. Automatic bid (proj) to Cardinal Gibbons based on RPI. CG & LR play each other in wk 11.
Cap 6 - 4 way tie for third place. Tie cannot be broken on HTH or against rest of conf. Athens Drive has an RPI rank of 31 and b/c the tie cannot be broken by h-t-h or how they fared against one another.
RPI would put them in.
Southeast Wake Conf - Apex Friendship & Holly Springs are tied for 1st. Automatic Bid (proj) to Apex Friendship based on h-t-h. AF beat HS in wk. 5.
4A DAC - Jordan & Hillside are tied for 1st. Automatick bid (proj) to Jordan based on RPI. Jordan & Hillside play each other wk 11.
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3A West RPI

1Pisgah1.000000.700000.525670.73770
2West Charlotte1.000000.630000.609890.73497
3Kings Mountain1.000000.600000.603670.72110
4Hickory1.000000.525000.586940.68608
5Crest1.000000.480000.618890.67767
6Ledford1.000000.500000.544000.66320
7Robinson1.000000.380000.593330.63000
8Eastern Guilford0.800000.530000.554670.61840
9Northwest Cabarrus1.000000.340000.603670.61710
10West Henderson1.000000.441670.442780.60950
11Oak Grove0.800000.530000.494330.60030
12Concord0.800000.450000.568000.59040
13Statesville0.600000.580000.562330.58070
14Ashe County0.800000.450000.521670.57650
15Smoky Mountain0.333330.875000.413330.57400
16Rockingham County0.800000.410000.540670.56620
17North Gaston0.600000.610000.447000.55810
18Dudley1.000000.250000.504000.55120
19West Iredell1.000000.120000.641670.54050
20North Lincoln0.333330.691670.526390.53458
21Central Davidson0.400000.593330.532950.51722
22South Point0.600000.350000.622000.50660
23Asheboro0.200000.750000.482480.50474
24East Lincoln0.600000.400000.539000.50170
25Northeast Guilford0.800000.250000.532670.49980
26Hibriten0.400000.550000.531000.49930
27Franklin0.400000.600000.462670.49880
28North Davidson0.200000.700000.528000.49840
29North Henderson0.600000.360000.555000.49050
30North Iredell0.600000.31000

Still should change alot but good grief..
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Things Become Clearer

I wrote this on another thread but thought it might deserve its own thread.

From the comments posted about not just last nights games but also last week, it think a lot is becoming clear.

1. SMC has a lot of parity but not necessarily great teams.
2. Swain is the unknown. How good are they? Mostly likely very good. Next Friday night is even bigger now.

3. Draughn is better than anticipated, maybe much better.
4. Eastern Randolph faces undefeated 2A Randleman next Friday. This game may determine if ER is just very very good or great.

5. North Rowan and Thomasville are sleepers. Not doubt they are good, sometimes really good. Can they play with the best. NR plays Salisbury next Friday and might answer some of that question.
6. Starmount has shown they are getting better each game and has found a way to score lots of points on weaker teams. Have they gotten good enough to play with the top 3 or 4 top 1A teams?

7. At least in my view, Mt Airy is still the clear top 1A team in the West until somebody proves otherwise. With two MIP (Most Important Players) out for at least the next 3 weeks, can THE BEARS adjust and keep on marching in step?
8. The RPI system is tremendously flawed if the intent is to identify the best teams and rank them in a reasonable order.

West Craven @ SWE

This is for the 2A Eastern Plains Conference Championship. Should be one of the better games this week. I haven’t had a chance to sit down and watch a SWE game yet so I can’t really speak on them. We have an athletic Qb that is strong and tough. We’ve been able to run the ball with success all year. We have some really good receivers. I expect our defense to really show out this week like they did against FarmVille. Coach Twichell is 41-4 in his career at West Craven in conferences play. He has won 5 out of 7 conference titles. I like our chances. SWE has been able to benefit from redistricting lines that allow kids to play at SWE instead of going to RM. it’s been good for the conference. You need competition to be good. Our RPI has suffered from playing 1A Pamlico. They have won some games and could win their conference tomorrow night with a win but their oowp has been bad. I really believe when we schedule games now we need to be looking at those factors. But a win tomorrow night will certainly have us in a good spot. I’m not discussing the what ifs of losing. It’s not an option!! @SWE'98 i should be there around 5:30. I’ll be setting up end zone camera and sideline equipment if you want to come over and meet up. Though we are on opposite sides of the fence tomorrow good luck to you and SWE. Hopefully we have a good game with no injuries.

SWO @ ED

Could be a upset in ED
SWO has been playing different then game vs WRH. Much more disciplined smash mouth football. Got a QB about 5*7 140 that is a certified play maker. Burney has really been working with him and you can definitely tell. Threw a 70 yard bomb and scored two rushing TDs last night. He trucked a defensive player from JK at the goal line to set the tone last night.

I've got JK beating WRH Friday and SWO beating ED. To set up a tie at the conference title...... Maybe just wishful thinking, but could happen lol. Finally something to be excited about this time of year at SWO. I'll be there at 530 for this one.
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