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Proposed conferences

When Murphy abd Andrews exit the smc we will only have 4 1a team. Will the state do a split if it only has 1 2a school and 4 1a schools? Maybe smoky or Franklin will be 2a by then.
 
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When Murphy abd Andrews exit the smc we will only have 4 1a team. Will the state do a split if it only has 1 2a school and 4 1a schools? Maybe smoky or Franklin will be 2a by then.

That's what I was thinking. If the new school opens in 2025 at the start of the next alignment, I imagine they'll either want Franklin and/or Smoky to go back to 2A and the SMC be a 1A/2A split, or for there to be a 2A/3A split with Franklin/Smoky/the Haywood schools/Brevard (which would then maybe send Rosman back to the SMC once there's not a 1A/2A split option that includes the other school in their county). If the school opens during this cycle, the options aren't good. But they'd almost have to just push to be the only 2A team in a 5 team 1A/2A split SMC, or else they'd have multiple trips an hour past Asheville for the farthest west current 2A conferences. If they went in with Brevard and Hendersonville, that would mean four trips to Rutherford Co in most sports. If they went in with the WHC, that would mean three trips almost to Hickory in most sports now that Draughn, Patton, and West Caldwell are in there.
 
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Forbush might get kicked to conference 34 or 36.

I want to see Ashe go 3A and I have a lot of respect for Payne, but I've seen this game before.

I'd like to see it too; honestly I think they could do okay in 3A. They might not win a ton of conference games but they have 6 non conference games and they could be 6 winnable ones if they schedule the right teams. South Caldwell is a mess so Ashe could get another win there.

If they do appeal and try to force Forbush out that itself will be a war.. Forbush has lusted to return to the MVAC for 7 years from beginning of the WPAC on; heck they even challenged the NW in 2008 because they were in it and they wanted to go back, so they switched with Surry Central. Forbush won't give up on anything easy.. they have the talent now to win the MVAC and they won't go because one team wants them out. I just hope it doesn't screw everything up. If they do get knocked out they would honestly fit best in the West Stokes/Forsyth conference.

That being said if the ADM data is rock solid it will be impossible to get lowered.. we almost went 3A in 2004. They were gonna put North Surry with Carver/Andrews/Glenn. That would have KILLED us back then but we got off because someone screwed up with the lifespan students and counted them with the regular kids when they shouldn't have. We got a lucky break; most of the time that doesn't happen. Ashe has been living on the 3A edge since 2013 they had a dip before that alignment which gave them a break. They got bit this time.

I could see them maybe creating a better conference with them though. If West Iredell stays down then they could switch them with Foard or something. Ashe would beat North Iredell, St Stephens, and maybe Hickory. Their rides would be longer but their results would be better.
 
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Just seen West Stokes isn't happy; can't say I don't blame them the Forsyth schools don't bring anything.

Honestly it would be a tough fix for them. They could either stay and dominate albeit not make much money or they could go with Reidsville and Andrews.. not an easy pick. The problem with going to the Northwest would be it would make that conference they are in now less full. It would only work if they merged 32 and 34 but that would be a 9 team league. Hard to figure any way they put it.

I just hope the lineups aren't badly ruined due to all the appeals. Farthest away from the Forsyth schools the better in my opinion.
 
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I still can't believe this is real.. we've all struggled for it for 6/7 years to get out of the WPAC but we had to deal with it. Past 2 years have been rough with NF coming in making things too loaded it was going to have to change.

I'll definitely take these lineups though; the old NW was fun as could be back when I played and 2012 was a fun year too we never should have left. Every school was making oodles of money and there was solid parity (heck even North Stokes had a solid offense in 2011/12 and had 2 all state kids,) it's a shame what matchups and money we could had in the 7 year stretch we couldn't have. But it will be for the best of the Surry schools to do this. Central could be quite good in 2021; so will MA, we will be in the thick of things, and then there's East. South will be solid as long as Dave stays.

MVAC wise Forbush getting added will help that conference a ton in terms of parity and quality. They will be really solid the next few years and with Funderburke there he knows how to win in that conference but they will have to beat Starmount, East Wilkes, and Wilkes Central. Elkin and Alleghany will be the ? marks. For Elkin If the JV kids coming up could do decent like last year they have a shot but it will be hard to replace these seniors they will lose. Alleghany will I think reach their peak in 2021 when this junior class are seniors; they are good sized and run a killer ball control offense for 1A. Just gotta get better on defense. West and North Wilkes will have a rough go unless the new guys get them going.

The Stokes/Forsyth conference will be interesting.. looks like it will be West/Walkertown's conference to lose unless North Forsyth gets over it's drama and Carver wakes up. Them moving to 1A is what they've needed honestly for 4 years. They were a year too late in 2016 to go down; if they had been in the Northwest the past few years they wouldn't have been as bad they woulda beat South and North Stokes in those 2 dire years of 17/18. The new guy has his work cut out for him but the #'s game will be more equal in that split conference. West got a break here actually; they will do well here in this conference plus they could keep their rivalry games with MA, East, and us. Win/win for them.

I do feel bad for Ashe; I honestly wasn't expecting them to be 3A at all. I'm sure they will challenge it but I don't think they could win. NCHSAA tried this 20 years ago to them as well but they had a lucky spot to go in the MVAC as SC went to 1A and West Stokes didn't want to have to play West Caldwell and Hibriten and got out.. this time it's way more full. If they do win I just hope it doesn't mess the lineups up.. they got it much better I'd hate to see it ruined.



As for out of area that Shelby conference will be brutal for Highland Tech.. won't be surprised if their lowest scores for Shelby vs them will be 65-0. Poor Atkins as well.. they will be lucky to make it 4 years. The state woulda done them better by putting them with Central Davidson.
This should give North Surry a better chance for playoffs every year ?
 
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For good gates, Forbush could help 34 or 36 but the MVAC will want to keep them if they can to help their gates. JMO

They would benefit better in the MVAC it's what they want. Granted if they get put into West Stokes's league they would help West out quite a bit but Forbush would fight it tough and nail. The Forsyth schools wouldn't add them much in return like the MVAC schools would.
 
This should give North Surry a better chance for playoffs every year ?

More than likely but it'll depend on how they do the playoffs. Since it's truly one class again it might just be the best 2A team. If they give each class 2 berths then certainly. All we'd have to do is beat Central every year.
 
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Just seen West Stokes isn't happy; can't say I don't blame them the Forsyth schools don't bring anything.

Honestly I think if they merged that conference with the Rockingham one for Football only it'd make more sense. It'd be the 3 Rockingham schools, West Stokes, and the Forsyth schools with Bishop. That would be more than enough to give West gate. The Rockingham schools would travel better than the Forsyth ones plus they can still play East, MA, and whoever else they want and make money.

Then Basketball time they can go back to their other conferences and do fine.
Just seen West Stokes isn't happy; can't say I don't blame them the Forsyth schools don't bring anything.

Honestly I think if they merged that conference with the Rockingham one for Football only it'd make more sense. It'd be the 3 Rockingham schools, West Stokes, and the Forsyth schools with Bishop. That would be more than enough to give West gate. The Rockingham schools would travel better than the Forsyth ones plus they can still play East, MA, and whoever else they want and make money.

Then Basketball time they can go back to their other conferences and do fine.
In basketball Millennium Charter (1A) will probably be at the bottom for a good while because they have not been winning too often and their 2020-2021 does not have all the NWC schools on their schedule. They went 2-27 last year and 5-19 & 5-19 the year before.
This is their schedule this year but the NCHSAA could change it if they are going to be in the NWC.
 
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In basketball Millennium Charter (1A) will probably be at the bottom for a good while because they have not been winning too often and their 2020-2021 does not have all the NWC schools on their schedule. They went 2-27 last year and 5-19 & 5-19 the year before.
This is their schedule this year but the NCHSAA could change it if they are going to be in the NWC.

Yeah they won't be a threat for a while they just want to play sports.. can't say I don't blame them there. The whole Football deal is a can of worms though they'd be best to ignore it.

If they can't beat a home school team they sure can't beat any of us in Basketball or soccer lol.
 
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That's what I was thinking. If the new school opens in 2025 at the start of the next alignment, I imagine they'll either want Franklin and/or Smoky to go back to 2A and the SMC be a 1A/2A split, or for there to be a 2A/3A split with Franklin/Smoky/the Haywood schools/Brevard (which would then maybe send Rosman back to the SMC once there's not a 1A/2A split option that includes the other school in their county). If the school opens during this cycle, the options aren't good. But they'd almost have to just push to be the only 2A team in a 5 team 1A/2A split SMC, or else they'd have multiple trips an hour past Asheville for the farthest west current 2A conferences. If they went in with Brevard and Hendersonville, that would mean four trips to Rutherford Co in most sports. If they went in with the WHC, that would mean three trips almost to Hickory in most sports now that Draughn, Patton, and West Caldwell are in there.
I honestly think that in 4 years that every high school in WNC will have drastically higher numbers. Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Buncombe, parts of Swain, Cherokee & Transylvania Counties in particular. I'm in the architectural/building industry around here and I can tell you there has never been the influx of new home construction as their has been since the pandemic began and it's not going to slow down any time soon. Every city slicker with a big enough wallet is building a mountain getaway and they're not all just Floridian retirees anymore. The clients are getting younger and have more kids. So, I think by 2025 or whatever, the landscape will look a lot different. 1 A's might be 2 A's, 2A's might be 3A's and so forth.
 
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I honestly think that in 4 years that every high school in WNC will have drastically higher numbers. Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Buncombe, parts of Swain, Cherokee & Transylvania Counties in particular. I'm in the architectural/building industry around here and I can tell you there has never been the influx of new home construction as their has been since the pandemic began and it's not going to slow down any time soon. Every city slicker with a big enough wallet is building a mountain getaway and they're not all just Floridian retirees anymore. The clients are getting younger and have more kids. So, I think by 2025 or whatever, the landscape will look a lot different. 1 A's might be 2 A's, 2A's might be 3A's and so forth.

I agree. Especially for communities with good broadband access. Building departments are overloaded and builders are a year or two behind. We were trying to buy a house and the only thing that even got us able to make an offer was the ridiculously low interest rate. House prices are skyrocketing and selling quickly.
 
I agree. Especially for communities with good broadband access. Building departments are overloaded and builders are a year or two behind. We were trying to buy a house and the only thing that even got us able to make an offer was the ridiculously low interest rate. House prices are skyrocketing and selling quickly.

If the mountains ever get it together on broadband, I think there will be a lot of growth with the ‘remote economy’ coming. It isn’t great in a lot of Cherokee Co. right now though.
 
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If the mountains ever get it together on broadband, I think there will be a lot of growth with the ‘remote economy’ coming. It isn’t great in a lot of Cherokee Co. right now though.
I haven't seen much growth in Cherokee County but 1) there aren't exactly many housing opportunities here unless you are starting from scratch and 2) I'm not in construction or real estate so I'm not as in tune with those happenings as some are.

I will say that downtown Murphy is as busy these last few months as I've probably ever seen it so maybe I am missing something. Either way I really hope universal broadband internet access gets straightened out in this part of the state ASAP.
 
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I haven't seen much growth in Cherokee County but 1) there aren't exactly many housing opportunities here unless you are starting from scratch and 2) I'm not in construction or real estate so I'm not as in tune with those happenings as some are. I will say that downtown Murphy is as busy these last few months as I've ever seen it so maybe I am missing the obvious.

At least on the east end of the county, there wasn’t much built for 15-20 years. Starting to be more built now, but supply still behind demand. I personally don’t think schools will grow much in the west by next realignment. In my experience, a lot of the young folks who dream of moving to the mountains often find out reality can’t live up to their dream, and move on in a few years. And retirees/second home types don’t put kids into the system. Plus some non traditional options are expanding that could offset any growth—Summit Charter in Jackson Co is adding high school, Shining Rock in Haywood plans to build a new school and add high schooL, TCEC is getting a new school, etc.
 
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For growth to happen there has to be something to draw people. There isn't a good way in and out of that part of the state. It's 2 hours from any major city. The population curve of that area will stay flat for a long long time.
 
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For growth to happen there has to be something to draw people. There isn't a good way in and out of that part of the state. It's 2 hours from any major city. The population curve of that area will stay flat for a long long time.
Dont think its that simplistic. Some areas are growing fast, I can go 20 minutes down the road into Towns County or Union County GA and both are growing, other areas not as much.

30 years ago Cherokee County had double the population of Union County, by 2030 Union will likely have as many or more people than Cherokee County.
 
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Cherokee County could really use some more affordable housing, before the pandemic hit there was a write up in the local paper about how there was more work in the area than there was housing to cover it.

In regards to the golf aspect O&R covered, it seems a bit silly on the surface but losing Cherokee Hills golf course was a legitimate blow to the county, especially with the casino now in place, that's a big missed opportunity. That void really needs to be filled again in the county by someone.

As for North Carolina as a whole they need to overhaul their lottery and get a system in place more on par with Georgia. Murphy lost an athlete this year to Georgia specifically for the Hope scholarship.
 
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Affordable housing is an issue in many rural areas. Sadly towns don't fight for it, instead they allow wealthy individuals to build HUD housing which doesn't do anything to draw anyone. The mountains of NC in general are ridiculously expensive as far as cost of living goes. Especially housing.

The NCGA also needs to stop kicking the can around and sitting on money. They need to fund broadband access across the state.
 
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I like Tarboros proposed conference. It has rival Southwest Edgecombe, Roanoke Rapids, beddingfield, North Edgecombe, Northeast carolina prep, and Wilson prep. The latter two teams don't have football teams. But I'll take the other 4 teams over basically every team that is currently in tarboro's conference now.
 
I promise you the mtns have a extremely low cost of living. 18$ an hr here is equal to 30 in Raleigh.
 
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For growth to happen there has to be something to draw people. There isn't a good way in and out of that part of the state. It's 2 hours from any major city. The population curve of that area will stay flat for a long long time.
Not true at all. Multiple ways in and out most of that part of the state if you actually know where you're going. The fact that it is 2 hours away from any big city is the draw, in itself. The population curve is currently spiking in a rate in which it hasn't in atleast the last 30 years. Broadband is a very important factor for a decision with a lot of people when it comes to wanting to build here but there's not many who actually back out of it just because of that. While not as good as most options, if you have the money, and if you're going to build here in the mountains then you do, then there's avenues such as long range hotspots, Sat. internet, Skyrunner, Hughes, Etc.
 
Not true at all. Multiple ways in and out most of that part of the state if you actually know where you're going. The fact that it is 2 hours away from any big city is the draw, in itself. The population curve is currently spiking in a rate in which it hasn't in atleast the last 30 years. Broadband is a very important factor for a decision with a lot of people when it comes to wanting to build here but there's not many who actually back out of it just because of that. While not as good as most options, if you have the money, and if you're going to build here in the mountains then you do, then there's avenues such as long range hotspots, Sat. internet, Skyrunner, Hughes, Etc.

As far as drawing businesses and such, the infrastructure of the area isn't good imo. But with no interstate going in and out and the curvy mountain roads, transport isn't easy for businesses. Granted 74 isn't terrible. Broadband lack of really hurts that draw for business and hurts education too.
 
Cherokee would make sense. Its the closest smc team in size, talent and location.
 
Rosman has asked to be put back in the smc or conference 42.
 
Truth is no one in nchsaa knows we play sports on the N.C./tn line. Having football in February for us is crazy. We have no real representation.
 
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Rosman is in a bad spot either way......the travel time to TJ is probably closer than to Murphy or Andrews for them. Not sure they can compete either way.
 
If you remember the rules for the 7 game season with no makeup games if snowed out for any reason. So how is it to work if some of these mountains or any teams only get In, say 5 games and others get all 7 games? The question is how will they decide the playoffs if some teams are 5 & 0 and some 7 & 0 or 5 & 2 & or 3 & 2 . Some games may not be played and NCHSAA stated no games could be made up. Crazy, but I think their intentions were to not allow spring football and just put this crap together to look like they were doing something. No football will be played till fall 2021 as I see it..... JMO..... Screwed up mess....
 
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