Best Site for Playoff Projections

[Ram60]

Link to the best playoff projections.
I laid out their projections in a spreadsheet showing conference and overall win/loss records, win/ loss percentages, latest MaxPreps Rankings, school longitude locations, 2016 ADMs and their predictions are close to spot on.

Link:
http://www.highschoolot.com/3-a-football-playoff-projections-nov-6-2016/16199006/

 

[KM2ASU]

No.....3A west wrong

 

[Ram60]

No.....3A west wrong

Here is what I went off, hopefully it will post the way I entered it

3A WEST
MP 2016 CONFERENCE OVERALL Playoff
Rank ADM W L W L W L ST LOC
1 Hibriten 4 1014 7- 0 100% 11- 0 100% 10- 0 1 81.494
2 Pisgah 23 1014 6- 1 86% 10- 1 91% 9- 1 1 82.842
3 Crest 21 1213 6- 2 75% 8- 3 73% 8- 2 1 81.609
4 Tuscola 10 1063 6- 1 86% 10- 1 91% 9- 1 82.953
5 Burns 22 1044 6- 2 75% 9- 2 82% 8- 2 81.533
6 Patton 45 955 4- 3 57% 7- 4 64% 7- 3 81.671
7 Freedom 46 1172 4- 3 57% 6- 5 55% 6- 4 81.720
8 West Henderson 61 1077 2- 5 29% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 82.515
`
3A MID WEST
8 Carson 62 1236 6- 6 50% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 80.545
7 East Rowan 58 1044 3- 6 33% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 80.424
6 Anson 53 969 1- 4 20% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 80.103
5 North Forsyth 57 1162 3- 3 50% 5- 6 45% 5- 5 80.283
4 Forestview 39 1177 5 -2 71% 7- 4 64% 7- 3 81.133
3 West Rowan 20 1076 7- 2 78% 8- 3 73% 8- 2 80.643
2 South Point 17 1047 6 -1 86% 7- 4 64% 7 -3 1 81.039
1 Southern Guilford 26 1144 6- 0 100% 9- 2 82% 9- 1 1 79.855

 

[Ram60]

Here is what I went off, hopefully it will post the way I entered it

3A WEST
MP 2016 CONFERENCE OVERALL Playoff
Rank ADM W L W L W L ST LOC
1 Hibriten 4 1014 7- 0 100% 11- 0 100% 10- 0 1 81.494
2 Pisgah 23 1014 6- 1 86% 10- 1 91% 9- 1 1 82.842
3 Crest 21 1213 6- 2 75% 8- 3 73% 8- 2 1 81.609
4 Tuscola 10 1063 6- 1 86% 10- 1 91% 9- 1 82.953
5 Burns 22 1044 6- 2 75% 9- 2 82% 8- 2 81.533
6 Patton 45 955 4- 3 57% 7- 4 64% 7- 3 81.671
7 Freedom 46 1172 4- 3 57% 6- 5 55% 6- 4 81.720
8 West Henderson 61 1077 2- 5 29% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 82.515
`
3A MID WEST
8 Carson 62 1236 6- 6 50% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 80.545
7 East Rowan 58 1044 3- 6 33% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 80.424
6 Anson 53 969 1- 4 20% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 80.103
5 North Forsyth 57 1162 3- 3 50% 5- 6 45% 5- 5 80.283
4 Forestview 39 1177 5 -2 71% 7- 4 64% 7- 3 81.133
3 West Rowan 20 1076 7- 2 78% 8- 3 73% 8- 2 80.643
2 South Point 17 1047 6 -1 86% 7- 4 64% 7 -3 1 81.039
1 Southern Guilford 26 1144 6- 0 100% 9- 2 82% 9- 1 1 79.855

 

[Ram60]

It didn't put the spaces between each stat. sorry but hope you can make sense of it

 

[Ram60]

It didn't put the spaces between each stat. sorry but hope you can make sense of it

Columns should have read:
School
Latest MAXPREPS ranking
2016 ADM
Conference record and winning percentage
Overall record and winning percentage
Playoff record (dropping one game)
Conference first place finishers
School latitude location

 

[Ram60]

No.....3A west wrong

KM2ASU, you are right now that I look at it, they need to update the 3A west since Crest has won the draw for 1st in their classification of the split conference. They should get the no.3 seed vice the no. 5 seed and burns should get the no 5 seed vice the no 3 seed.

 

[No Dog in the Fight]

Here is what I went off, hopefully it will post the way I entered it

3A WEST
MP 2016 CONFERENCE OVERALL Playoff
Rank ADM W L W L W L ST LOC
1 Hibriten 4 1014 7- 0 100% 11- 0 100% 10- 0 1 81.494
2 Pisgah 23 1014 6- 1 86% 10- 1 91% 9- 1 1 82.842
3 Crest 21 1213 6- 2 75% 8- 3 73% 8- 2 1 81.609
4 Tuscola 10 1063 6- 1 86% 10- 1 91% 9- 1 82.953
5 Burns 22 1044 6- 2 75% 9- 2 82% 8- 2 81.533
6 Patton 45 955 4- 3 57% 7- 4 64% 7- 3 81.671
7 Freedom 46 1172 4- 3 57% 6- 5 55% 6- 4 81.720
8 West Henderson 61 1077 2- 5 29% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 82.515
`
3A MID WEST
8 Carson 62 1236 6- 6 50% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 80.545
7 East Rowan 58 1044 3- 6 33% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 80.424
6 Anson 53 969 1- 4 20% 4- 7 36% 4- 6 80.103
5 North Forsyth 57 1162 3- 3 50% 5- 6 45% 5- 5 80.283
4 Forestview 39 1177 5 -2 71% 7- 4 64% 7- 3 81.133
3 West Rowan 20 1076 7- 2 78% 8- 3 73% 8- 2 80.643
2 South Point 17 1047 6 -1 86% 7- 4 64% 7 -3 1 81.039
1 Southern Guilford 26 1144 6- 0 100% 9- 2 82% 9- 1 1 79.855

So, does this look right?

 

[burnsbulldogtweeter]

KM2ASU, you are right now that I look at it, they need to update the 3A west since Crest has won the draw for 1st in their classification of the split conference. They should get the no.3 seed vice the no. 5 seed and burns should get the no 5 seed vice the no 3 seed.

Yeah I tweeted Nick Stevens to tell him about Crest winning the draw.

 

[ImaCrestFan]

So.....................Does all the errors mean that highschoolot.com is NOT the Best Site For Playoff Projections?

 

[Ram60]

So.....................Does all the errors mean that highschoolot.com is NOT the Best Site For Playoff Projections?

They are still pretty accurate, they came out before the draw and haven't been updated since

 

[CougarsOfAHS]

Why is Asheville a 6 and Erwin a 5? When they tied for second in conference and Asheville won the head to head

 

[KM2ASU]

They are still pretty accurate, they came out before the draw and haven't been updated since

I haven't had time to look at this, but this Bracket has Eastern Alamance 3A and Simmons has them 3AA....not sure which Projection is correct, but it makes a difference.

 

[Muchadoaboutnothin]

I thought McMichael was playing Hibriten?

 

[Reynoldsrocks2]

Why is Asheville a 6 and Erwin a 5? When they tied for second in conference and Asheville won the head to head

Because they are tied with Marvin Ridge also and in a 3 way tie ALL teams have to play each other for head to head to come into play. Max Preps rankings decides three way ties when all 3 don't play each other. I disagree with it also, but that's how it is written in the playoff seeding rules.

 

[KM2ASU]

• The smallest school in the 3AA subdivision is Concord (ADM: 1,267). The largest school in the 3A subdivision is Eastern Alamance
• If Hunt loses to Rocky Mount on Friday night, McMichael would take the final spot in the field, winning the tiebreaker among all schools with a 3-7 qualified record thanks to a 3-5 mark in conference play. Hunt is currently in with a 3-6 qualified record.

OK....If Hunt loses to Rocky Mount and McMichael takes the spot in 3A, I believe that will bump E Alamance back over to the Mideast 3AA, like Simmons has it.

I do not think these Brackets are correct. I believe the Simmons Brackets will be more accurate, IF Rocky Mount wins.

 

[Thebearofjer]

You mountain people are more salty about the erwin-asheville seeding than Burns was about transfers to Crest 3 years ago. That's quite the accomplishment.

 

[Reynoldsrocks2]

You mountain people are more salty about the erwin-asheville seeding than Burns was about transfers to Crest 3 years ago. That's quite the accomplishment.

Personally I don't care who got the higher seed, I was trying to understand why it was, now I do understand it, but still don't agree with the process. It doesn't affect my team!

 

[AhsCougar1]

Personally I don't care who got the higher seed, I was trying to understand why it was, now I do understand it, but still don't agree with the process. It doesn't affect my team!

Do the official brackets come out Saturday ?

 

[Reynoldsrocks2]

Do the official brackets come out Saturday ?

Yes they do.

 

[Otis4411]

When do the playoffs start? Next weekend?

 

[beamer24]

Seeding is the 12th. 1st game is the 18th.

 

[Sportsnut17]

When do the playoffs start? Next weekend?

11/18

 

[Otis4411]

11/18

Thank you. I thought it was the 18th but max preps has Havelock playing a non conf game with South Johnston on the 18. wonder if that is a playoff game? They keep this old guy confused and it seems to get easier to do every day.

 

[Sportsnut17]

Thank you. I thought it was the 18th but max preps has Havelock playing a non conf game with South Johnston on the 18. wonder if that is a playoff game? They keep this old guy confused and it seems to get easier to do every day.

No games scheduled for playoffs yet, pairings will come out on Saturday.

 

[Mt.Ulla-falcon-fan]

Link to the best playoff projections.
I laid out their projections in a spreadsheet showing conference and overall win/loss records, win/ loss percentages, latest MaxPreps Rankings, school longitude locations, 2016 ADMs and their predictions are close to spot on.

Link:
http://www.highschoolot.com/3-a-football-playoff-projections-nov-6-2016/16199006/

Ok which is it? Simmons says West Rowan is a #2 playing Freedom in the 1st round. This says we are a #3 playing Patton. Any ideas?

 

[beamer24]

I would go with simmons.

 

[KM2ASU]

Need a little help......If Aycock is out in 3A, the next team in is Cox Mill 3AA.....the smallest 3AA is Concord?
If Concord moves to 3A....Cox Mill comes in at 8MW...C Cab moves to 7MW, Cuthbertson 6MW, and Ledford to 5MW......does that make sense, and does anyone else see this?

 

[Thebearofjer]

Ok which is it? Simmons says West Rowan is a #2 playing Freedom in the 1st round. This says we are a #3 playing Patton. Any ideas?

It got changed to West Rowan 2 seed

 

[beamer24]

http://simmonsratings.com/bracket.htm

Updated

 

[SimmonsRatings]

Updated through Friday's games. E. Alamance is 3A now because of the Aycock forfeits. Corinth Holders now gets in after a forfeit victory and that bumps EA down to 3A.