NCPreps.com 4A Top 10 Poll - Week 5

[Deana_King]

Here are the latest rankings in the NCPreps.com Top 10 Poll for Week 5 of the 2017 high school football season. Sponsored by SCORESTREAM!!


4A

1. Wake Forest (4-0)
2. Mallard Creek (3-0)
3. Scotland County (1-1)
4. West Meck (4-0)
5. West Forsyth (4-0)
6. Myers Park (4-0)
7. Heritage (4-0)
8. Hoggard (3-0)
9. Butler (1-1)
10. Hickory Ridge (4-0)

 

[Blue and Gold22]

No Harding?

 

[btango]

Don't see Hickory Ridge currently as a top ten in 4A based on the teams they beat.

I think Harding loses their next two if not three games. Mallard Creek, West Meck, Providence. Think they will be beat up a bit by the time they play Providence. If they lose those three looks like an 8-3 finish.

 

[1955Wildcat]

I have Heritage higher. Perhaps 2 or 3.

 

[nepsy7]

I have Heritage higher. Perhaps 2 or 3.

Just curious, based off of what?

 

[CatholicCougs14]

You're gonna rank Hickory Ridge over Harding when HR has played no one of note? Really?

 

[1955Wildcat]

Based off what? Look, every poll at this point, including the coaches poll, the AP poll and everything else is largely subjective. That's how it works.

But I know you want to attack, so let's say it's based entirely off my keen and expansive knowledge of high school football? That work?

I've seen four games this year:

Aug 17 saw Mallard Creek beat Scotland County (good excuse to get down to close to Morven so I could pull the cards on my cameras for some deer porn and I liked what I saw)
Aug 25 saw Heritage beat Middle Creek
Sep 4 saw WF rough up Middle Creek
last Friday saw Butler beat Richmond (good excuse to put out some new mineral licks and lay down some clover seed)

So, I'd say the best teams are WF, Heritage, Mallard Creek and Scotland.

Now, as for my methodology, I think it's about as good and as bad as anyone else's. I spent most of my younger years in forex arbitrage and we kept getting these UPenn, MIT and Mellon math dudes in who claimed they had a better model: "look at these p-values" Remember young fella, a P Value measures whether an observed result can be attributed to chance but it can never answer the real question: what are the odds that a hypothesis is correct. That depends entirely on how solid the hypothesis was in the first place.

So my model(which is 100% eye test) might be wrong but you can't prove ANYTHING about it one way or the other. Have fun.

 

[nepsy7]

Based off what? Look, every poll at this point, including the coaches poll, the AP poll and everything else is largely subjective. That's how it works.

But I know you want to attack, so let's say it's based entirely off my keen and expansive knowledge of high school football? That work?

I've seen four games this year:

Aug 17 saw Mallard Creek beat Scotland County (good excuse to get down to close to Morven so I could pull the cards on my cameras for some deer porn and I liked what I saw)
Aug 25 saw Heritage beat Middle Creek
Sep 4 saw WF rough up Middle Creek
last Friday saw Butler beat Richmond (good excuse to put out some new mineral licks and lay down some clover seed)

So, I'd say the best teams are WF, Heritage, Mallard Creek and Scotland.

Now, as for my methodology, I think it's about as good and as bad as anyone else's. I spent most of my younger years in forex arbitrage and we kept getting these UPenn, MIT and Mellon math dudes in who claimed they had a better model: "look at these p-values" Remember young fella, a P Value measures whether an observed result can be attributed to chance but it can never answer the real question: what are the odds that a hypothesis is correct. That depends entirely on how solid the hypothesis was in the first place.

So my model(which is 100% eye test) might be wrong but you can't prove ANYTHING about it one way or the other. Have fun.

Not attacking at all. Calm down, i know how polls work. Thanks for the info.

You can save the Forex Arbitrage Calculator analogy. That's a little to much for me.. Took me 6 years to obtain my undergraduate...lol! It's all about how you see things. Based on watching all the teams you would like to jump them(Heritage) over. I would say Myers Park only.

 

[scotswin]

before game 4 simmons had hickory ridge
playing a tougher schedule by 50 spots

 

[1955Wildcat]

I know. I am only joking. I also watched the entire film of the Middle Creek game late Friday night after it was given to me. They beat Millbrook. Neither team is impressive. Middle Creek should win the rest of their games though as their league is very, very weak.

 

[nepsy7]

Looking at the enrollment numbers. Heritage & Wake Forest might both be going to 4A.

 

[CatholicCougs14]

before game 4 simmons had hickory ridge
playing a tougher schedule by 50 spots

Playing NW Cabarrus, Concord(who isn't that good), JM Robinson(not as good as some thought) and Central Cabarrus is a real tough schedule...

 

[hokiemtc]

before game 4 simmons had hickory ridge
playing a tougher schedule by 50 spots

None of Hickory Ridge's OOC opponents are 4A schools, and HR struggled in two of those games.

All of which is totally inexcusable for a 4A school. Especially for one that wants to be taken seriously.

Looks like they did manage to fool some people, though.

 

[Diddydontplay]

Just curious, based off of what?

Nepsey, I still have Middle Creek number 1 in my poll. HOWEVER, my formula may be a tad bit biased. GO MUSTANGS!!!

 

[Blue and Gold22]

Dont you actually have to play a 4a school to be ranked in the top 10 in 4a?

 

[hokiemtc]

Hickory Ridge will be badly exposed soon enough (although the struggles against mediocre 3A teams should've already done it).

They can duck and dodge competition OOC all they want, but the NCHSAA made sure that there's nowhere for Hickory Ridge to hide in-conference.

 

[Blue and Gold22]

Based off what? Look, every poll at this point, including the coaches poll, the AP poll and everything else is largely subjective. That's how it works.

But I know you want to attack, so let's say it's based entirely off my keen and expansive knowledge of high school football? That work?

I've seen four games this year:

Aug 17 saw Mallard Creek beat Scotland County (good excuse to get down to close to Morven so I could pull the cards on my cameras for some deer porn and I liked what I saw)
Aug 25 saw Heritage beat Middle Creek
Sep 4 saw WF rough up Middle Creek
last Friday saw Butler beat Richmond (good excuse to put out some new mineral licks and lay down some clover seed)

So, I'd say the best teams are WF, Heritage, Mallard Creek and Scotland.

Now, as for my methodology, I think it's about as good and as bad as anyone else's. I spent most of my younger years in forex arbitrage and we kept getting these UPenn, MIT and Mellon math dudes in who claimed they had a better model: "look at these p-values" Remember young fella, a P Value measures whether an observed result can be attributed to chance but it can never answer the real question: what are the odds that a hypothesis is correct. That depends entirely on how solid the hypothesis was in the first place.

So my model(which is 100% eye test) might be wrong but you can't prove ANYTHING about it one way or the other. Have fun.

Well- I dont know much about Pvalues but I have seen every team on here either live or streamed with the exception of Hoggard, Hickory Ridge or West Forsyth. I would have Heriage 5th. I actually think that is a pretty good squad. Oline gonna struggle with WF but the QB is excellent as is the RB.

We are blessed with some great RB's in this state this year.