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4A West week 9

FB fan 92

Well-Known Member
Sep 26, 2022
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Seedings after week 9 games
Round of 32

1 Weddington
32 Ragsdale

16 Sun Valley
17 Cuthbertson

8 Charlotte Catholic
25 Alexander Central

9 Palisades
24 Porter Ridge


5 Hough
28 West Cabarrus

12 West Forsyth
21 Olympic

13 Mallard Creek
20 Lake Norman

4 Watauga
29 Western Guilford


3 East Forsyth
30 Myers Park

14 Mount Tabor
19 Southeast Guilford

6 Asheville
27 Marvin Ridge

11 Northwest Guilford
22 Independence


7 Mooresville
26 South Iredell

10 Grimsley
23 Page

15 Reagan
18 T.C. Roberson

2 Northern Guilford
31 Butler


Auto bid to Northern Guilford over Grimsley based on tie break procedure (NG has wins over all three teams tied for 3rd in conference, Grimsley has wins over 2 of 3. Grimsley plays Page in wk 10. NG @ Grimsley week 11)

Determining NCHSAA Playoff Representatives
1. Conference Standings
If a tie, tie break decided in the following order:
2. Head-to-Head
3. How the tied team fared again the rest of the conference, starting with the number one team and moving down throughout the conference.
4. NCHSAA RPI standings.
5. Draw will be held by the tied teams for the seeds available.
 
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If that pans out I swear there’s a conspiracy to keep us out of the 3rd round 😂😂😂
 
Jokes aside… I’m assuming you’re projecting Grimsley to lose to NG?
No. Only showing where things are today. If the playoffs started today. Not projecting. I explain below the seeding what it is based on.

Regarding their matchup, I fully expect Grimsley to win. Grimsley is the favorite to come out of the west it would seem.

I like the intrigue coming down the stretch of seeing how the seedlings and RPI change from week to week as we approach the playoffs. You can begin to see where your team stands and possible matchups.
 
Weddington would be 1 based off of you putting Northern ahead of Grimsley. Weddingtons RPI is 2 and Northerns is 3. Seed conference 1 seeds by RPI
 
No shot Northern Guilford gets the overall 1 seed.
If Northern beats Grimsley, which is a long shot, would Northern deserve the number one seed ? I'd think Weddington or Hough would still get the number one seed over Northern.
P.S. Perhaps this preliminary bracket holds true and Page will visit Grimsley in the first round.
 
If Northern beats Grimsley, which is a long shot, would Northern deserve the number one seed ? I'd think Weddington or Hough would still get the number one seed over Northern.
P.S. Perhaps this preliminary bracket holds true and Page will visit Grimsley in the first round.
A potential rematch with Grimsley sounds cool, but its also a very long shot it happens. Unless Page wiggles down to the 32 or 31 seed.
 
If Northern beats Grimsley, which is a long shot, would Northern deserve the number one seed ? I'd think Weddington or Hough would still get the number one seed over Northern.
P.S. Perhaps this preliminary bracket holds true and Page will visit Grimsley in the first round.
Doesn’t matter if they deserve it or not, it’s based on RPI. Would be tough for Northern to pass Weddington but Hough’s RPI isn’t going to increase that much the next few weeks as they play teams with 4 combined wins.
 
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If Northern beats Grimsley, which is a long shot, would Northern deserve the number one seed ? I'd think Weddington or Hough would still get the number one seed over Northern.
P.S. Perhaps this preliminary bracket holds true and Page will visit Grimsley in the first round.
Northern will get beat by 5 tds minimum
 
Doesn’t matter if they deserve it or not, it’s based on RPI. Would be tough for Northern to pass Weddington but Hough’s RPI isn’t going to increase that much the next few weeks as they play teams with 4 combined wins.
I completely agree with your points about the RPI and how it impacts rankings. The RPI, or Ratings Percentage Index, does indeed prioritize a team's performance relative to their opponents, which can sometimes lead to frustrating situations for teams like Northern when they face stronger competitors like Weddington high school.

As you mentioned, Hough's RPI may not see a significant boost in the coming weeks due to their upcoming schedule, which consists of teams with a combined total of just four wins. This highlights how the strength of schedule plays a crucial role in determining a team's ranking.

This situation raises some interesting questions about the fairness of the RPI system. Should there be a more nuanced approach that takes into account not just wins and losses, but also the strength of opponents? And how can teams ensure they are scheduling games that will help bolster their RPI without risking their chances of winning?
 
No. Only showing where things are today. If the playoffs started today. Not projecting. I explain below the seeding what it is based on.

Regarding their matchup, I fully expect Grimsley to win. Grimsley is the favorite to come out of the west it would seem.

I like the intrigue coming down the stretch of seeing how the seedlings and RPI change from week to week as we approach the playoffs. You can begin to see where your team stands and possible matchups.
If the playoffs were to start today, how would the current standings and matchups shape the journey to victory, and what makes Grimsley the team to beat in this fiercely competitive environment?

🙏
 
I completely agree with your points about the RPI and how it impacts rankings. The RPI, or Ratings Percentage Index, does indeed prioritize a team's performance relative to their opponents, which can sometimes lead to frustrating situations for teams like Northern when they face stronger competitors like Weddington high school.

As you mentioned, Hough's RPI may not see a significant boost in the coming weeks due to their upcoming schedule, which consists of teams with a combined total of just four wins. This highlights how the strength of schedule plays a crucial role in determining a team's ranking.

This situation raises some interesting questions about the fairness of the RPI system. Should there be a more nuanced approach that takes into account not just wins and losses, but also the strength of opponents? And how can teams ensure they are scheduling games that will help bolster their RPI without risking their chances of winning?
I am not following you logic on the RPI not taking into account the strength of opponents. The RPI takes into account the win percentage of a team’s opponents and their opponent’s opponents. That seems to capture the strength of opponents.
 
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I completely agree with your points about the RPI and how it impacts rankings. The RPI, or Ratings Percentage Index, does indeed prioritize a team's performance relative to their opponents, which can sometimes lead to frustrating situations for teams like Northern when they face stronger competitors like Weddington high school.

As you mentioned, Hough's RPI may not see a significant boost in the coming weeks due to their upcoming schedule, which consists of teams with a combined total of just four wins. This highlights how the strength of schedule plays a crucial role in determining a team's ranking.

This situation raises some interesting questions about the fairness of the RPI system. Should there be a more nuanced approach that takes into account not just wins and losses, but also the strength of opponents? And how can teams ensure they are scheduling games that will help bolster their RPI without risking their chances of winning?
The RPI rankings take into account Winning % + Opponent's Winning % + Opponent of Opponent's Winning %.
I think the question many people ask is how each one is weighted, and if they should be weighted differently.

Check it out here... https://www.nchsaa.org/sports/football/

It's a big reason why Page is ranked 23rd with a 3-5 record. We have played a tough schedule.
 
Northern will get beat by 5 tds minimum
goofy-redneck-with-surprised-face.jpg
 
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