ADMs out
- Thread starter beamer24
- Start date
No. Were still primarily flexbone with a little spread mixed in.
Realignment will be interesting next time. E Randolph, Trinity and Thomasville amongst others in 2A are smaller than several current 1A schools.
The moment the Adms were posted it was as if I could actually hear the collective gasps of the 2a teams
May have even heard a few thank you football gods from the 2aa side of the house too
LOL should be fun let’s see what happens
May have even heard a few thank you football gods from the 2aa side of the house too
LOL should be fun let’s see what happens
gotta love how the list has Myers Park at 3688 (wow) and Nantahala next on list at 28...lol....not even sure where Nantahala is...Mountains?? sounds Native American.....Notice the political correctness there....I didn't say Indian......................
lol...........maybe Rams will finally get to visit Golden Lions den..............
The way it looks right now
1 Shelby
2 Mountain Heritage
3 West Stanley
4 Randleman
5 Rams
Unless something crazy happens, and it wont, the Rams will be on the road starting Round 2 assuming Randleman and Rams win round 1.
And if the Rams remain unfocused and lethargic with minimal effort like they have been, they will be playing basketball the Monday after Thanksgiving if not sooner.
Other than East Surry and their collection of future ACC players, Reidsville has shut down most everybody with six shutouts in 10 games and allowing just 6, 16 and 14 in the other three wins. I don't understand the "unfocused, minimal effort" comment. Sure the penalties made them look sloppy against Cummings, but that was an unusual scenario. Entire game had a bit of uneasiness to it with the refs not working well enough to get things under control.
What would happen if the cut-off was at 827? Who would go 2A and who would go 2AA?
Seems 2AA East couldn't handle you boys. So its back with us Peons. I think we will do a little better, Maybe. Will be fun tho
ADMs for what Pisgah Bears said about top 5:
1 Shelby 827 .... (884 last year)
2 Mountain Heritage 629 (665 last year)
3 West Stanley 763 (757 last year)
4 Randleman 856 (834 last year)
5 Reidsville 723 (708 last year)
Question -- Why are you so sure Randleman will not be 2AA?
1 Shelby 827 .... (884 last year)
2 Mountain Heritage 629 (665 last year)
3 West Stanley 763 (757 last year)
4 Randleman 856 (834 last year)
5 Reidsville 723 (708 last year)
Question -- Why are you so sure Randleman will not be 2AA?
Not just the Cummings game, which should have been more around a 56-0 score if we are being honest with ourselves. It started with E Guilford, blew up with East Surry, and was still evident even with wholesale defensive changes made before Mt Airy.
I believe blackandyellow said it best on a different post... There Is No Senior Leadership. Past years you could point out a handful of guys easily that were leaders.
Nantahala is indeed an Indian name and deep in the WNC mountains. Notice I didn't save Native American because its from Indigenous peoples, not some white liberal labeled bs.
I believe the NCHSAA would do a draw/coin flip....I expect the cut line to be lower...closer to Newton-Conover, SW Edgecombe, Forbush (if they get in), West Stokes
Yes, they are much higher than last year....like us at South Granville....I'm shocked to see that our number (840) is higher than last year's 836, when SG was the largest school in small 2A....our on campus number dropped from around 741 to 705 but the students at Granville Early College that live in SG district count toward ADM for athletics and bumped that number all the way to 840, guessing SG will be 2AA....at least 3 or 4 from the cut line this year
Tarheelg you always seemed to do a good job on projections what’s the number you think is the cut off line on 2aa big randleman is at 856
2A 2019 ADMs (Remember A LOT of these teams will not make the playoffs)
SG Atkins 1138
Hibriten 1015
HM Cummings 1008
North Forsyth 1004
St. Pauls 1002
Currituck Co. 1000
South Point 998
North Lincoln 996
Nash Central 992
Oak Grove 992
North Davidson 991
Pisgah 982
East Lincoln 977
Burns 947
South Rowan 942
Franklin 937
East Henderson 935
Central Davidson 933
Ledford 920
East Duplin 913
Richlands 908
Ashe Co. 907
Forest Hills 903
West Caldwell 895
Bunn 894
Dixon 891
FT Foard 890
First Flight 888
Carrboro 876
West Lincoln 872
Roanoke Rapids 871
Jordan Matthews 870
Mount Pleasant 867
Wilkes Central 867
East Burke 865
East Davidson 864
Smoky Mountain 864
Graham 862
West Iredell 861
East Gaston 860
Washington 860
North Lenoir 858
Salisbury 858
Central Academy 857
Randleman 856
DL McMichael 855
Croatan 853
JM Morehead 851
Ruth.-Spin. Central 845
Hertford Co. 844
Maiden 840
South Granville 840
Bunker Hill 838
RL Patton 834
North Surry 833
Lexington 832
TW Andrews 827
Shelby 827
Bandys 818
Newton-Conover 816
SW Edgecombe 814
Forbush 809
West Stokes 807
Clinton 806
Lake Norman Charter 801
Fairmont 800
Brevard 791
Lincolnton 788
Anson Co. 785
CD Owen 783
Farmville Central 782
ET Beddingfield 780
Midway 775
West Craven 774
West Davidson 772
East Rutherford 766
Wheatmore 764
West Stanly 763
North Johnston 761
North Pitt 759
Red Springs 748
Hendersonville 745
Greene Central 744
Goldsboro 736
West Wilkes 727
Walkertown 726
Reidsville 723
Chase 722
South Columbus 718
Heide Trask 715
Bartlett Yancey 715
Madison Co. 712
South Lenoir 710
Providence Grove 709
North Wilkes 707
SW Onslow 706
JF Webb 705
Pasquotank Co. 702
Surry Central 687
Whiteville 687
GW Carver 680
Wallace-Rose Hill 674
West Bladen 672
Eastern Randolph 671
Thomasville 649
James Kenan 663
Trinity 648
Kinston 634
JC Draughn 630
Northeastern 630
Mountain Heritage 629
Ayden-Grifton 626
Bertie Co. 603
East Bladen 585
SG Atkins 1138
Hibriten 1015
HM Cummings 1008
North Forsyth 1004
St. Pauls 1002
Currituck Co. 1000
South Point 998
North Lincoln 996
Nash Central 992
Oak Grove 992
North Davidson 991
Pisgah 982
East Lincoln 977
Burns 947
South Rowan 942
Franklin 937
East Henderson 935
Central Davidson 933
Ledford 920
East Duplin 913
Richlands 908
Ashe Co. 907
Forest Hills 903
West Caldwell 895
Bunn 894
Dixon 891
FT Foard 890
First Flight 888
Carrboro 876
West Lincoln 872
Roanoke Rapids 871
Jordan Matthews 870
Mount Pleasant 867
Wilkes Central 867
East Burke 865
East Davidson 864
Smoky Mountain 864
Graham 862
West Iredell 861
East Gaston 860
Washington 860
North Lenoir 858
Salisbury 858
Central Academy 857
Randleman 856
DL McMichael 855
Croatan 853
JM Morehead 851
Ruth.-Spin. Central 845
Hertford Co. 844
Maiden 840
South Granville 840
Bunker Hill 838
RL Patton 834
North Surry 833
Lexington 832
TW Andrews 827
Shelby 827
Bandys 818
Newton-Conover 816
SW Edgecombe 814
Forbush 809
West Stokes 807
Clinton 806
Lake Norman Charter 801
Fairmont 800
Brevard 791
Lincolnton 788
Anson Co. 785
CD Owen 783
Farmville Central 782
ET Beddingfield 780
Midway 775
West Craven 774
West Davidson 772
East Rutherford 766
Wheatmore 764
West Stanly 763
North Johnston 761
North Pitt 759
Red Springs 748
Hendersonville 745
Greene Central 744
Goldsboro 736
West Wilkes 727
Walkertown 726
Reidsville 723
Chase 722
South Columbus 718
Heide Trask 715
Bartlett Yancey 715
Madison Co. 712
South Lenoir 710
Providence Grove 709
North Wilkes 707
SW Onslow 706
JF Webb 705
Pasquotank Co. 702
Surry Central 687
Whiteville 687
GW Carver 680
Wallace-Rose Hill 674
West Bladen 672
Eastern Randolph 671
Thomasville 649
James Kenan 663
Trinity 648
Kinston 634
JC Draughn 630
Northeastern 630
Mountain Heritage 629
Ayden-Grifton 626
Bertie Co. 603
East Bladen 585
I'm guessing the cut line will be just above 800....without this week's rankings yet, and guessing on who I think will win and lose this Friday night, and how that will affect next week's rankings, my best guess is that the smallest 2AA will be Newton-Conover at 816 and the largest small 2A will be SW Edgecombe at 814....I'm sure I'll be wrong on some of the wins/losses this Friday AND what the computer will spit out for this week's rankings and next week's rankings but what happens is often is you get a surprise above the line AND below the line....(or East of the East/West cutline and West of the East/West cutline) so the projection usually stays close....it all comes down to which 64 teams qualify for the playoffs....if some of the bubble teams below 800 ADM get in and knock out teams above 800 ADM, then Bandys, N-C-, SWE, etc. could all go 2AA....thing is most of the teams that appear to be on the bubble are bigger than Shelby....if a bunch of them make the playoffs and bump out other teams bigger than Shelby, that's what could push Shelby down (what everybody's talking about)....as for Randleman, i think they're far enough above the cut line (10 teams right now) that they should safely be big, and also safely in the East....if the cards fall right, Randleman could actually be the #1 seed in 2AA East
West Stanly would have been below 710 but Stanly County Schools is now allowing the community college early college student and the alternative students to now play at their home schools. Albemarle added an early college on campus this school year. All four Stanly schools would have been down if not for the add in of the off campus students.
have done some loose figuring and I think the cutoff between 2A and 2AA will be around 833 or so...where N. Surry is............may be and probably are wrong.......
Who ends with second place in the Mid-State 2-A might help shuffle the deck as Cumings, Carrboro and Bartlett Yancey are expected to end up tied for second. Not sure how they'll decide that because there's no clear tie-breaker as Cummings beat Bartlett Yancey, but lost to Carrboro while Carrboro beat Cummings but lost to Bartlett Yancey.
Cummings has 1008 ADM, Carrboro 876 and Bartlett Yancey 715 so obviously Bartlett Yancey would be the only small 2-A.
Are the adjusted rankings the tie breaker for conferences?
Cummings has 1008 ADM, Carrboro 876 and Bartlett Yancey 715 so obviously Bartlett Yancey would be the only small 2-A.
Are the adjusted rankings the tie breaker for conferences?
Nantahala means "Land of the Noon Day Sun" in Cherokee. Aptly named, it's nothing but gorges and canyons. Fun fact nobody is asking for, it is one of three K-12 schools in the state, along with Highlands and Ocracoke.
Not at all, sort of.....they play into subdividing the 64 teams into 32 in 2AA and 32 in small 2A, the seeding 1-16 into
East & West in both subdivisions is done after the teams are split, first from A vs. AA, then East/West....then all conference first place finishers, by the final adjusted maxpreps rankings (AMPR), then all teams that got credit for a second place conference finish (if their conference gets two auto bids) (in order of AMPR), then possibly any third place auto bids (whoever finishes third in Central Carolina gets an auto bid here since they have so many teams in the conference, and sometimes you might see a team from a split conference with a random auto bid in tier of 3s, but I don't foresee any this year at the moment), then followed by at large or wild card teams, (in order of AMPR)
It's not about how much bigger they are than Reidsville....it will be about where the cut line is after we know which 64 teams qualify for the playoffs, which we will not know officially until they release the preliminary brackets with the final adjusted maxpreps rankings....Shelby will be very close to the cut line, now that this week's rankings just got released, I will go rework my projection, but earlier today, using last week's rankings, and guessing on wins and losses this Friday, I still had Shelby in 2AA, 3 teams ahead of the cut line
