4-AA Projection

[BlackKnight24]

4AA EAST

1 Wake Forest (10-0) vs 16 Panther Creek (5-5)
8 Fuquay Varina (9-1) vs 9 Wakefield (9-1)
5 Richmond (9-1) vs 12 Holly Springs (5-5)
4 Page 10-0 vs 13 Leesville Road (5-5)
3. Jack Britt 10-0vs 14 Heritage (5-5)
6 Garner (9-1) vs 11 Green Hope (6-4)
7 Pinecrest(8-2) 10 Northwest Guilford (8-2)
2 Middle Creek (10-0) vs 15 Lumberton (5-5)

4AA WEST

1 South Caldwell (10-0) vs 16 McDowell (4-6)
8 Myers Park (9-1) vs 9 Ardey Kell (6-4)
5. Butler (9-1) vs 12 North Meck (8-2)
4. West Forsyth (9-1) vs 13 Providence (5-5)
3 Lake Norman (9-1) vs 14 West Meck (5-5)
6 Mallard Creek (9-1) vs 11 Vance (8-2)
7 South Meck 8-2 vs. 10 Independence 6-4
2 Hough 9-1 vs. 15 E.Meck 5-5

 

[TarheelRaider]

I think South Caldwell lost a conf. game last week.

 

[nepsy7]

Vance will most likely go 4A

 

[1Twister]

Blacknight, good job. One slight problem for the SEC:

You have Pinecrest at 8-2, Richmond at 9-1, and Scotland at 9-1 (4A). That my friend is not a possible outcome. All are undefeated in conference except Pinecrest with 1 loss. Pinecrest and Scotland only have 1 real game left and for both it is against Richmond. Scotland and Pinecrests other games are expected blow outs. With that in mind, the possible outcomes are:

Richmond wins out - Richmond 10-0 Scotland 9-1 Pinecrest 8-2

Richmond beats Pinecrest and loses to Scotland - Scotland 10-0 Richmond 9-1 Pinecrest 8-2

Richmond loses to both -Scotland 10-0 Pinecrest 9-1 Richmond 8-2

Richmond loses to Pinecrest and defeats Scotland - Scotland 9-1 Richmond 9-1 Pinecrest 9-1 (3 way tie for 1st)

(These of course are with Richmond dropping its one out of conference loss)

 

[Wiseman83]

You have Myers Park with 1 loss but they already lost 2 conference games (butler&indy)

 

[BlackKnight24]

ok let me make some changes

 

[BlackKnight24]

here is the updated version

4AA EAST

1 Wake Forest (10-0) vs 16 Riverside (5-5)
8 Fuquay Varina (9-1) vs 9 Wakefield (9-1)
5 Richmond (10-0) vs 12 Laney (5-5)
4 Page 10-0vs 13 Leesville Road (5-5)
3. Jack Britt 10-0vs 14 Heritage (5-5)
6 Garner (9-1) vs 11 Green Hope (6-4)
7 Pinecrest(8-2) 10 Northwest Guilford (8-2)
2 Middle Creek (10-0) vs 15 Lumberton (5-5)

4AA WEST

1 Hough(9-1) vs 16 McDowell (4-6)
8 Myers Park (8-2) vs 9 Ardey Kell (6-4)
5. South Caldwell (9-1) vs 12 North Meck (8-2)
4. Butler (9-1) vs 13 Providence (5-5)
3 West Forsyth (9-1) vs 14 West Meck (5-5)
6 Mallard Creek (9-1) vs 11 Vance (8-2)
7 South Meck 8-2 vs. 10 Independence 6-4
2 Lake Norman9-1 vs. 15 E.Meck 5-5

 

[RAIDERS2014]

Vance will most likely go 4A

Vance ADM numbers are supposedly are at 4AA numbers

 

[GSO-Triple5]

I can't ever remember Page being in the East.

 

[Wiseman83]

I can't spot East Forsyth. Where do you have them at? I might just be skipping over them.

 

[RaidersRocks]

Good look Wiseman: I dont see them. I think they will be a EF #1 seed
Riverside has to go, they can't win 5 games.(2-7)
Vance will likely go 4A

 

[BlackKnight24]

Here you go . i left east forsyth out

4AA EAST

1 Wake Forest (10-0) vs 16 Riverside (5-5)
8 Fuquay Varina (9-1) vs 9 Wakefield (9-1)
5 Richmond (10-0) vs 12 Laney (5-5)
4 Page 10-0vs 13 Leesville Road (5-5)
3. Jack Britt 10-0vs 14 Heritage (5-5)
6 Garner (9-1) vs 11 Green Hope (6-4)
7 Pinecrest(8-2) 10 Northwest Guilford (8-2)
2 Middle Creek (10-0) vs 15 Lumberton (5-5)

4AA WEST

1 E.Forsyth (10-0) vs 16 Providence (5-5)
8 Myers Park (8-2) vs 9 South Meck 8-2
5. South Caldwell (9-1) vs 12 Ardrey Kell (6-4)
4. Butler (9-1) vs 13 Independence (6-4)
3 West Forsyth (9-1) vs 14 West Meck (5-5)
6 Mallard Creek (9-1) vs 11 Vance (8-2)
7 Hough 9-1 vs. 10 North Meck 8-2
2 Lake Norman 9-1 vs. 15 E.Meck 5-5

 

[RaidersRocks]

Lol good job BK, but you left out McDowell so you have to move Vance
jmo, but don't think Leesville Rd. and Laney will make it.

 

[OptionFreak]

I'd bet good money that Mooresville goes 4AA this time.

 

[RaidersRocks]

I'd bet good money that Mooresville goes 4AA this time.

If they do, they'll need around 1875 enrollment

 

[OptionFreak]

Looking like 1920 for Mooresville

 

[newpride]

You're also missing Millbrook....and very doubtful Leesville wins either of it's last 2 to get to 5 wins.

 

[viking1504]

Sorry to be the bear of bad news but.... Leesville has to beat Millbrook to get in. How does Riverside get in with only 4 victories? Laney does have a very good chance at making it.. I like the effort though.. You also don't have Millbrook in there.. Davie Co. and Rocky River can make things very interesting

 

[Champ_24]

Mooresville 4AA and Lake Norman 4a. I hope Page and EF goes east and dominate

 

[RaidersRocks]

Page maybe East, EF probably not and either one dominating: probably not.

 

[GSO-Triple5]

I seriously doubt Page, East Forsyth, or Northwest Guilford will be in the East.

 

[JMACDE99]

also vance can't report 8-2 if i'm not mistaken they are 5-4 and the playoffs is not guaranteed at this point. they have 1 conf win i believe. they lost to n meck, brown and the creek. they still have hough i believe.

 

[hokiemtc]

I can't ever remember Page being in the East.

Me either, but the projections I've been running all season have had them in the East since the beginning. Charlotte is having an very "up" year for football in general, and is going to completely fill the Western bracket with eligible teams. In my last projection, NW Guilford was actually the last team going East on the cut line, with Page already solidly over there.

Also, just so it doesn't come as a complete surprise if it happens, but East Forsyth (next in line) and West Forsyth (2nd in line) both have a decent shots of going East this year as well, depending on what goes down in the Queen City over the next two weeks.

 

[JMACDE99]

somebody needs to go east in 4a because if some of these predictions hold true u could have sorry azz New hanover as a 1 seed. That is pathetic and a disgrace to SC, Dudley, Catholic and a host of other schools who have had remarkable seasons against stiff competition. for once 4aa east will not be a cakewalk for wake forest especially if u can ad RC to that mix. PC, RC and Jack Britt will make for a stout challenge.

 

[Warhead1]

Me either, but the projections I've been running all season have had them in the East since the beginning. Charlotte is having an very "up" year for football in general, and is going to completely fill the Western bracket with eligible teams. In my last projection, NW Guilford was actually the last team going East on the cut line, with Page already solidly over there.

Also, just so it doesn't come as a complete surprise if it happens, but East Forsyth (next in line) and West Forsyth (2nd in line) both have a decent shots of going East this year as well, depending on what goes down in the Queen City over the next two weeks.

There is a lot of talk on other sites about East Forsyth's ADMs being way down this year. Could we potentially see East going small 4A?

 

[viking1504]

Not sure that will happen.. They would have to drop about 6 schools below the cut that are playoff eligible. Not impossible though. A bunch of Big 4A east (Raleigh) are making the western teams (page , nw guiford, and others)going east to fill up 4AA east bracket

 

[SIHS1984]

You have Lake Norman beating Mooresville in your projections. I don't see that happening. South Iredell & Hough have played & beaten both. Mooresville should win that game.

 

[Sportsnut17]

There is a lot of talk on other sites about East Forsyth's ADMs being way down this year. Could we potentially see East going small 4A?

I could be wrong, have been before, but I just don't see East as a 4A.

 

[84k]

Here you go . i left east forsyth out

4AA EAST

1 Wake Forest (10-0) vs 16 Riverside (5-5)
8 Fuquay Varina (9-1) vs 9 Wakefield (9-1)
5 Richmond (10-0) vs 12 Laney (5-5)
4 Page 10-0vs 13 Leesville Road (5-5)
3. Jack Britt 10-0vs 14 Heritage (5-5)
6 Garner (9-1) vs 11 Green Hope (6-4)
7 Pinecrest(8-2) 10 Northwest Guilford (8-2)
2 Middle Creek (10-0) vs 15 Lumberton (5-5)

4AA WEST

1 E.Forsyth (10-0) vs 16 Providence (5-5)
8 Myers Park (8-2) vs 9 South Meck 8-2
5. South Caldwell (9-1) vs 12 Ardrey Kell (6-4)
4. Butler (9-1) vs 13 Independence (6-4)
3 West Forsyth (9-1) vs 14 West Meck (5-5)
6 Mallard Creek (9-1) vs 11 Vance (8-2)
7 Hough 9-1 vs. 10 North Meck 8-2
2 Lake Norman 9-1 vs. 15 E.Meck 5-5

So you have N.Meck beating either Hough or mallard creek. They already have lost one conf. game to Kannapolis.

 

[CPC4LIFE]

Reagan is going to be 4AA

 

[84k]

Vance has lost three times in their conf. Kannapolis, Mallard Creek and N.Meck.

 

[portcity FB]

Vance has lost 3 conf games. If they lose to Hough are they still in?
1) Hough 6-0 If they win out
2) MC 5-1 They should win out
3) AL Brown 4-2 They should win out
4) NM 3-3 If they loss out
5) Vance 2-4 If they lose to Hough

 

[Champ_24]

Wow if Vance gets in as a 15 or 16 seed. Goodnite

 

[nepsy7]

Vance has lost 3 conf games. If they lose to Hough are they still in?
1) Hough 6-0 If they win out
2) MC 5-1 They should win out
3) AL Brown 4-2 They should win out
4) NM 3-3 If they loss out
5) Vance 2-4 If they lose to Hough

Vance is currently 2-3 they have Hopewell & Hough remaining. They can finish 2-5,3-4, or 4-3 in the conference.

 

[portcity FB]

Vance is currently 2-3 they have Hopewell & Hough remaining. They can finish 2-5,3-4, or 4-3 in the conference.

How do you figure? There are 7 teams in the conf so thats 6 games. Vance has beaten WC and lost to Brown, MC, and NM.

 

[hokiemtc]

Correct, Vance is 1-3 in conference, 5-4 overall.

If they win out, they are 3-3 in conference, 7-4 overall, and will be an at-large selection in the #10 to #13 seed range.

If they split the next two, they are 2-4 in conference, 6-5 overall, and an at-large selection in the #14 to #15 seed range.

If they lose out, they'll watch the playoffs from home.

 

[nepsy7]

How do you figure? There are 7 teams in the conf so thats 6 games. Vance has beaten WC and lost to Brown, MC, and NM.

My mistake. Damn! toughest 14 or 15 seed team in the STATE

 

[btango]

I feel confident Vance will be Hopewell. I think they pull the "mild" upset on Hough.

 

[portcity FB]

My mistake. Damn! toughest 14 or 15 seed team in the STATE

This is what happens when you play in your conf. LOL

 

[ForsythFootball]

Anybody who hasn't seen EF in action (Charlotte and other areas) you can watch them play Ragsdale tonight on tv ch. 323 (only time warner cablle)may change some people's views/doubts.