Who are the teams with the most momentum going into the games Friday?
In other words, which teams are showing the most improvement now?
For you math majors (probably no one reading this post
), momentum is defined as the second derivative in calculus which measures the rate of the rate of change. In simple terms it means how fast you are accelerating or how much you are beating the projected point spread by an ever increasing margin.
Teams with the Big Mo : North Lincoln and West Stokes
Teams with the Little Mo: Brevard and Reidsville
Teams Stuck in Neutral: Burns, West Lincoln, Mountain Heritage
Teams Digressing: Shelby
What does this mean for Friday night? Fan bias set aside, it probably means the only teams that might be subject to upset are Mountain Heritage ( a 7 point favorite ) and maybe North Lincoln ( a 4 point favorite ).
For West Stokes to upset Mountain Heritage the team from King will probably need a +2 turnover margin. And Mountain Heritage is playing at home which is worth about 2 or 3 points in itself.
For Burns to upset North Lincoln, the team from Lawndale will probably need a +1 turnover margin. And North Lincoln holds the home field advantage.
There is no chance West Lincoln will beat Shelby regardless of turnover margin and Brevard will need a +4 turnover margin to have a chance against Reidsville.
Of course, miracles do happen. That's why the games are played on the field and not on paper.
Plotting the teams power ratings on a graph you can project which team will most probably win future matchups by projecting the power ratings based on the accelerated ratings.
Got it?
In other words, which teams are showing the most improvement now?
For you math majors (probably no one reading this post
), momentum is defined as the second derivative in calculus which measures the rate of the rate of change. In simple terms it means how fast you are accelerating or how much you are beating the projected point spread by an ever increasing margin.Teams with the Big Mo : North Lincoln and West Stokes
Teams with the Little Mo: Brevard and Reidsville
Teams Stuck in Neutral: Burns, West Lincoln, Mountain Heritage
Teams Digressing: Shelby
What does this mean for Friday night? Fan bias set aside, it probably means the only teams that might be subject to upset are Mountain Heritage ( a 7 point favorite ) and maybe North Lincoln ( a 4 point favorite ).
For West Stokes to upset Mountain Heritage the team from King will probably need a +2 turnover margin. And Mountain Heritage is playing at home which is worth about 2 or 3 points in itself.
For Burns to upset North Lincoln, the team from Lawndale will probably need a +1 turnover margin. And North Lincoln holds the home field advantage.
There is no chance West Lincoln will beat Shelby regardless of turnover margin and Brevard will need a +4 turnover margin to have a chance against Reidsville.
Of course, miracles do happen. That's why the games are played on the field and not on paper.
Plotting the teams power ratings on a graph you can project which team will most probably win future matchups by projecting the power ratings based on the accelerated ratings.
Got it?
